Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA) has been a focal point for investors, blending innovation in electric vehicles (EVs) and AI with significant volatility. As of 06:43 PM IST, July 14, 2025, TSLA stock is priced at approximately $316, reflecting a turbulent year marked by political controversies and shifting market dynamics. With a market cap of around $1 trillion, Tesla remains a leader in the EV and clean energy space. This article explores TSLA’s stock performance, technical analysis, recent news, and whether it’s a smart investment today.
TSLA Stock Price Overview
TSLA’s stock price today stands at $316, with a 52-week range between $182 and $488.54, showcasing extreme volatility. The stock’s year-to-date performance is down 22%, a stark contrast to its peak in December 2024, driven by concerns over declining sales and Elon Musk’s political activities. Recent data indicates a 6.74% rebound over the past five trading sessions, lifting it from a low of $295.93, though it remains sensitive to news-driven swings.
TSLA Real-Time Stock Price Trend
Why Is TSLA Stock Dropping?
TSLA has faced downward pressure due to several factors:
Political Controversies
Elon Musk’s announcement of the “America Party” and his feud with President Trump have reignited investor unease, contributing to a 7% drop on July 7, erasing $68 billion in market value.
Declining Sales
Tesla reported a 13.5% year-over-year drop in Q2 2025 deliveries (384,122 vehicles), falling short of some expectations, with North American sales weakening amid leadership exits like VP Troy Jones.
Margin Pressures
Analysts highlight shrinking auto gross margins (forecast at 14% excluding credits) and the loss of high-margin regulatory credits, with the EV tax credit expiration looming in September 2025.
TSLA Stock Split: Did It Happen, and When?
Tesla executed a 3-for-1 stock split on August 25, 2022, and a 5-for-1 split on August 31, 2020, making shares more accessible. As of July 14, 2025, no new split has been announced, though speculation persists given the stock’s historical highs. Investors should watch for updates, especially post-earnings on July 23.
Technical Analysis of TSLA Stock
Short-Term Trends
TSLA’s daily chart shows a recent recovery, holding support near $306.93 (log Fibonacci 0.786). The stock trades below its 200-day moving average ($340) but above the 21-day EMA, suggesting cautious optimism. The RSI is around 45, indicating neutral momentum with room to climb if positive catalysts emerge.
Long-Term Trends
On a weekly chart, TSLA exhibits a weakening downtrend, with accumulation volume increasing. Posts on X note a potential reversal if it breaks $320, though resistance at $362.89 (prior high) remains a hurdle.
Key Levels to Watch
- Support: $306-$310 (recent lows)
- Resistance: $320-$340 (psychological and moving average barriers)
- Breakout Potential: A move above $340 could target $550 (bull case).
TSLA Stock Price Target and Forecast
Analyst price targets for TSLA vary widely:
- UBS: $215 (Sell), citing overvaluation ahead of Q2 earnings.
- RBC: $319 (Outperform), raised from $307, optimistic on robotaxis.
- Average Target: Based on 35 analysts, the 12-month target is $293.38, suggesting a 7.42% downside from $316, with a range from $19.05 to $500.
- Long-Term: Cathie Wood predicts $2,600 by 2029 if robotaxi succeeds.
Q2 revenue is forecast at $22.4 billion (down 11% YoY), with EPS at $0.41 (down 20% YoY). Tesla’s premium valuation (P/E 172x) hinges on AI and autonomy, not current EV sales.
Recent TSLA Stock News
Executive Exits
The departure of North American sales chief Troy Jones marks another leadership shakeup, raising concerns about sales strategy amid a 9.09% YoY drop in China Model Y sales.
Robotaxi Progress
Tesla’s limited robotaxi service in Austin, Texas, and Musk’s xAI investment plans have sparked optimism, with a shareholder vote pending.
Q2 Earnings
Set for July 23, analysts expect a focus on robotaxis and Optimus, though delivery shortfalls could disappoint if below 366,000 (RBC estimate).
Is TSLA a Good Stock to Buy Today?
Bullish Case
- AI Potential: Robotaxi and Optimus could drive massive long-term value.
- Resilience: A 24% rebound over three months reflects investor faith in Musk’s vision.
- Delivery Rebound: China’s 9.09% sales growth in June signals recovery potential.
Bearish Case
- Political Risk: Musk’s activism may deter institutional investors.
- Margin Decline: Loss of credits and competition from GM and Rivian pose threats.
- Earnings Uncertainty: Four of the last five quarters missed estimates.
Should You Buy TSLA Stock?
TSLA is a high-risk, high-reward play. Risk-tolerant investors with a 3-5 year horizon may find value, but caution is warranted pre-earnings. Monitor $320 resistance and Musk’s political moves.
How to Buy TSLA Stock
- Choose a Broker: Use Fidelity, Schwab, or Robinhood.
- Fund Account: Deposit via bank transfer.
- Search TSLA: Locate Tesla on the platform.
- Place Order: Use a market order ($316) or limit order.
- Monitor: Track earnings and technical levels.
FAQs
Did TSLA Stock Split?
Yes, Tesla split 5-for-1 in 2020 and 3-for-1 in 2022. No split is confirmed for 2025.
Is TSLA a Good Stock to Buy Today?
It’s speculative; bullish on AI but risky due to political and margin issues.
Why Is TSLA Stock Dropping?
Drops stem from political tensions, declining sales, and margin pressures.
What Is the TSLA Stock Price Target?
The average 12-month target is $293.38, with a range of $19.05 to $500.
Conclusion
Tesla (TSLA) offers a compelling yet volatile investment opportunity. Its leadership in EVs and AI, coupled with recent rebounds, supports a bullish long-term outlook, but short-term risks from political noise and earnings uncertainty loom. Technicals suggest a potential breakout above $320, though $306 support is critical. For risk-tolerant investors, TSLA could be a buy, but wait for post-earnings clarity on July 23.
